Elon
W-L: (15-16) PR = 93.0266Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 65-56 1106 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 37-71 1110 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 93-48 1115 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 46-56 1124 H Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 57-93 1127 H Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 61-64 1128 A No Dakota SM ( 5-23, 91.9) 65-57 1207 H Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 53-64 1214 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 66-67 1217 H UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 50-54 1221 A Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 58-41 102 H Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 62-77 104 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 84-75 109 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 52-62 116 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 72-62 118 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 64-87 123 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 67-60 126 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 79-53 130 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 69-77 201 A Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 68-54 206 H NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 61-67 208 A Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 75-52 213 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 59-68 220 A Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 68-54 222 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 70-57 227 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 58-56 301 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 58-62 305 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 59-70 307 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 66-54 312 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 67-62 313 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 53-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Ea Tenn St 65-56 9 0 + 2.13
1106 H No Carolina 37-71 -34 -4 0.00
1110 A Presbyterian 93-48 45 3 0.00
1115 H Howard 46-56 -10 -2 -0.40
1124 H Georgetown 57-93 -36 -1 -0.55
1127 H Tulane 61-64 -3 -1 -1.50
1128 A No Dakota 65-57 8 1 0.87
1207 H Ea Carolina 53-64 -11 -2 -0.37
1214 H Longwood 66-67 -1 0 -0.51
1217 H UNCG 50-54 -4 1 - -2.80
1221 A Norfolk St 58-41 17 0 1.76
102 H Monmouth 62-77 -15 0 -1.67
104 A Hampton 84-75 9 1 1.04
109 H Campbell 52-62 -10 0 -1.58
116 A UNC-Wilm 72-62 10 1 0.54
118 H Charlotte 64-87 -23 -1 -0.71
123 A NC A&T 67-60 7 1 1.15
126 A Hampton 79-53 26 1 1.04
130 H Charlotte 69-77 -8 -1 -0.71
201 A Towson 68-54 14 0 + 2.33
206 H NC A&T 61-67 -6 1 - -2.87
208 A Will&Mary 75-52 23 0 + 2.18
213 H Drexel 59-68 -9 -1 -1.22
220 A Campbell 68-54 14 0 + 2.44
222 A Northeastern 70-57 13 1 1.08
227 A Hofstra 58-56 2 0 1.52
301 H Stony Brook 58-62 -4 0 -1.72
305 H Will&Mary 59-70 -11 0 -1.84
307 A UNC-Wilm 66-54 12 1 0.54
312 A Hampton 67-62 5 1 1.04
313 H Drexel 53-68 -15 -1 -1.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1217 H UNCG 50-54 -4 1 - -2.80 206 H NC A&T 61-67 -6 1 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A Ea Tenn St 65-56 9 0 + 2.13 201 A Towson 68-54 14 0 + 2.33 208 A Will&Mary 75-52 23 0 + 2.18 220 A Campbell 68-54 14 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 65-56 -6.76 4.20 0.01 0.98 8.25
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 37-71 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.98 -1.22
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 93-48 -9.92 1.04 0.01 0.98 2.07
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 46-56 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
3 H Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 57-93 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.98 -2.66
3 H Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 61-64 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 0.98 -3.12
3 A No Dakota ( 5-23, 91.9) 65-57 -8.01 2.95 0.01 0.98 5.80
3 H Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 53-64 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 0.98 -2.57
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 66-67 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 0.98 -3.12
3 H UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 50-54 -7.66 3.30 -0.01 0.98 -3.75
3 A Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 58-41 -7.12 3.84 0.01 0.98 7.53
3 H Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 62-77 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 0.98 -3.21
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 84-75 -7.84 3.12 0.01 0.98 6.12
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 52-62 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 0.98 -3.16
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 72-62 -8.34 2.62 0.01 0.98 5.15
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 64-87 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 67-60 -7.73 3.23 0.01 0.98 6.34
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 79-53 -7.84 3.12 0.01 0.98 6.12
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 69-77 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 A Towson (16-14, 93.3) 68-54 -6.56 4.40 0.01 0.98 8.64
3 H NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 61-67 -7.73 3.23 -0.01 0.98 -3.79
3 A Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 75-52 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.98 8.36
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 59-68 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 0.98 -2.98
3 A Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 68-54 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.98 8.86
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 70-57 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.98 6.21
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 58-56 -7.36 3.60 0.01 0.98 7.07
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 58-62 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 0.98 -3.23
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 59-70 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.98 -3.28
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 66-54 -8.34 2.62 0.01 0.98 5.15
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 67-62 -7.84 3.12 0.01 0.98 6.12
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 53-68 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 0.98 -2.98
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50.67
|
winning pts = 97.7863 losing points = -47.1202
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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